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LW Blog

09
Feb

Betfair Hurdle

The Betfair Hurdle can throw up some decent winners including 'My Tent Or Yours' & 'Zarkandar' in recent years and this years renewal looks interesting rather than vintage. Here are the main contenders and our verdict on Saturday's race:-

Ballyandy (5/1)
Last season's Champion Bumper winner hasn't quite lived up to expectations over hurdles this season, however, trainer believes he has been let in lightly on handicap debut, can see running in first three but no steal at the prices. 

Movewiththetimes (11/2)
behind Ballyandy in November at Cheltenham but in good hands and looks the type to improve with racing.

Clyne (11/2)
Winner in the fog in Dec and career best last time, all three of those runs came at Haydock on v soft ground and others preferred here.

William H Bonney (9/1)
Good winner at Cheltenham last time and value for more than winner margin, fancied to go well and 9/1 looks value EW.

 

Conclusion: - At the prices 'William H Bonney' looks overpriced, was value for more than winning margin at Cheltenham last time and fancied to go close.

LW

08
Dec

Caspian Caviar Gold Cup

It's back to the home of NH racing this weekend and the feature race is the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup, many contested the BetVictor Gold Cup here in November which provides a solid form line.

Village Vic (7/1)
Won the race last year off 136, much higher in weights now but  fancied to make bold bid from the front.

Buywise (10/1)
Has threatened for long time to win a big one but always seems to run on to late when the winner has flown, solid EW chance but opposable for win.

Aso (9/1)
Arguably could have finished closer when 4th in the BetVictor Gold Cup, best form is on soft ground and unlikely to get that here, opposable unless rain arrives.

Bouvreuil (6/1)
Tricky ride who has high head carriage, well backed this week but others preferred.

Thomas Brown (10/1)
More unexposed than most, won well last time at Ascot and fancied to go well. Slight concern is that didn't run very well over course in March.

Conclusion: - This doesn't look quite as strong as the BetVictor Gold Cup in November, where Village Vic lead everywhere but the line. Although vunerable to a better handicapped unexposed rival, he will make a bold bid from the front and give you solid run for your money.

01
Dec

Tingle Creek Betting Preview

After this weeks fiasco regarding the participation of Douvan we now know the six contenders who will contest this years renewal of The Tingle Creek. These are our views on the runners:

Un De Sceaux (15/8)
Put in his place by Sprinter Sacre at Cheltenham and looks short enough in the betting considering he is likely to be taken on for lead and jumping put under pressure, worth opposing.

Ar Mad (10/3)
Put up an electric performances both at Kempton and here during his novice campaign last year. Likely prove hard to peg back if turning up here (still has entry in Peterborough Chase)

Sir De Grugy (7/2)
Back to form in handicap last time, more on plate now but has run numerous decent races around here. At age of 10 there is no more improvement to come and vulnerable to younger rivals. 

Gods Own (5/1)
Didn't get home in G2 at Ascot last time, despite travelling best turning for home. Fancied to go very close as strong pace up front may set it up for him. 

Vibrato Valtat  (25/1)
Looks  overpriced on bits and pieces of form, including 3rd in this last year. Travelled best at Aintree on seasonal debut but has disappointing run last time to put behind him. 

Sir Valentino (50/1)
Career best last time in Haldon Gold Cup but much more needed here and would be a surprise winner.

Conclusion: - If turning up here rather than going to Huntingdon - 'Ar Mad' is going to take some catching as is fancied to make all. 

LW