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LW Blog

24
Jan

‘ave a go all you like – there’s no argument over who was the World’s Best Racehorse in 2017

Racing is having an identity crisis. At the Longines Awards, the annual event held by the International Federation of Horseracing Authorities, an argument which has been simmering along for months boiled over once again.

"...how can a horse whose summer campaign featured three defeats for an aggregate 22 lengths continue to be awarded 'Horse of the Year' titles?"

The answer is straightforward, but is it satisfactory?

First, let's journey back to March 2017.

Arrogate announced himself to the world with a 13 length victory in the Travers Stakes, and upheld that form by being the first horse to overcome California Chrome for nearly two years. There was no question that his 2016 mantle was vindicated.

Arrogate was kept going, winning the Pegasus as California Chrome's career finished with a whimper, and took his place in the 2017 Dubai World Cup at Meydan.

It was a performance that left most wondering where his seat was on the table of all time greats.

"I don't think I'll ever witness a race like it again," said legendary trainer Bob Baffert "That was the single best performance I have ever seen. That was incredible."

The World's Best Racehorse

It was judged by the IFHA to be the best performance since Frankel hung up his hooves and - as the award is given to the horse with the best individual piece of form in the calendar year - he was duly awarded the 2017 award for the World's Best Racehorse.

The irritation and confusion is mostly driven by the terminology. For many, Arrogate was palpably not the 'Horse of the Year', in fact, he wasn't even in the conversation.

So why do the IFHA refuse to change the name to something more accurate, such as, 'Best Individual Performance of 2017'?

Because this is how racing works.

Racing is a game of pounds, ounces, inches and stopwatches. Fans are obsessed with quantifying quality of form, and pontificating upcoming, or past & future mythical contests. It's the essence of the sport to wonder who would win.

To do this, all sorts of ratings are compiled. Practical, day to day, ratings will quickly adapt and move with a horse's current ability. But when reflecting on a career, racing will - commendably - honour the horses's high water mark, rather than a moving average.

You don't judge a career by how it finished, you judge it by how high it peaked.

In the same way, when considering a yearly award, it's right that only the peak performances are considered.

On the 25th of March 2017, Arrogate ran to a level of form which no other horse could match over the entire twelve months, and he thoroughly deserves to be crowned the world's best racehorse of 2017.

'Horse of the Year'

There is a more practical, and potentially cynical, reason why the IFHA refuse to rename their flagship award. (They're clearly not adverse to change as they introduced a completely new award in 2015, to honour the year's best race).

Crowning Arrogate with 'Best Individual Performance' of 2017 would create a vacuum. It begs the question, 'well, who was the best horse of 2017?'.

The suspicion is that quantifying such a subjective argument is simply too hard. They have an index for Jockeys, but this seems to have too much emphasis on consistency, and almost all top horses are campaigned incredibly sparingly.

It's this last fact that creates the discontentment with the award. In Australia, Winx has sledgehammered her way in to the hearts and minds of the population with a crushing 22 race winning sequence.

The public warms to consistency, it's why most UK racing fans still rank Enable over Cracksman even if the handicappers don't agree. (just don't get me started on Battaash)

They also warm to versatility. Personally, Enable would just edge out Winx on my 'Horse of the Year' award. She improved consistently through the season, taking five G1s in three countries, winning the biggest races against colts in devastating style, but what I love the most is the fact she never raced on the same course twice.

Winx ran over a variety of distances, going - and had some spectacular moments after acquiring a habit for missing the break - but rarely ventured outside of metropolitan Sydney.

“You can't stay in your corner of the Forest waiting for others to come to you. You have to go to them sometimes.”

Winx doesn't need to travel to prove herself to be the best racehorse in the world, but it will always be held against her if she doesn't.

After all, her best race of the 2017, ironically - also back in March, was good enough to retain her crown as highest rated turf horse (ahead of Cracksman, Enable..).


Simon Rowlands wrote a fascinating piece for Timeform about this very subject - which as fun as it was to read and imagine the contest - only really proved how difficult the exercise is.

Racing is a sport which creates fierce debate, and this is an annual dialogue that we should take great pleasure in. After all, it's an excuse to relive all the highlights of the season just gone.

But to argue that the IFHA need to change their awards is unnecessary.

If you're in any doubt, just scroll up and hit play again.

~ George

17
Jan

Golf Betting Tips: Profit Summary

At Love Winners we've a long established pedigree over a wide range of sports, but one of our mainstays continues to be tipping on golf. Our Golf Betting Tips cover the PGA Tour, all four Majors and the Ryder Cup.

Six Years of Tipping - Six Years of Winning

Year PnL to £5 ROI %
2012£777.038%
2013£213.833%
2014£352.555%
2015£571.8811%
2016£422.0016%
2017£413.157%
Total£2750.437%

Golf tips first appeared in 2012 and have turned a healthy profit every year.

Two Ways to Win - and win BIG

Type PnL to £5 ROI %
Golfers to Follow£1055.4316%
Golfers to Oppose£1695.005%
Total£2750.437%

If you like booting home big priced winners and bragging about spectacular returns on your investment, then backing our 'Follow' golfers each week is the service for you, with a lifetime average ROI of 16%.

We've had winners at 66/1, 50/1 ... in fact we've tipped TWELVE winners at 33/1 or greater. We're knocking on the door for even BIGGER wins though, as last year alone we had golfers place at triple figures (100/1, 150/1, 100/1).

If you prefer to sit on the other side of the fence and churn out regular & consistent profits by laying then we provide five Golfers to Oppose each event. As with all laying, the ROIs are lower - but the gross profits earned have been fantastic - with £1700 earned to just £5 stakes.

In the last three years we've opposed 241 golfers and only laid THREE winners (33/1, 7/1, 8/1).


2018 Starts Today

Our Golf tipster is on the tee and ready to take his first swing at 2018. He's already published his tips for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship.

Don't miss out on any more winners - Join Today ->

LW

22
Mar

Cheltenham Festival 2017 – Review

Cheltenham Festival is over for another year and before we focus on Aintree and Punchestown, let's take a look at a number of horses who caught our eye for future success.

1. River Wylde - An excellent 3rd in the Supreme Novices, described as immature by trainer in the lead up to the race and yards representatives often go on to better things, e.g. Buveur D'Air & Sprinter Sacre. (Champion Hurdle @ 33/1 - generally)

2. Neon Wolf - Highly regarded and impressive in the build up to the festival. Lost nothing in defeat to determined and high class rival and may have even won for pecking after the last. One to follow over fences next year.

3. Might Bite - Impressive and quirky when winning the RSA Chase at Cheltenham, looks one to follow, especially if heading back to Kempton for The King George on Boxing day. (King George @ 5/1 - Hills, Betfred)

4. Yorkhill - Impressive winner of the JLT, still plenty to learn over fences but huge engine and agree with jockey who rates him as a Gold Cup horse next year. (Gold Cup @ 8/1 - Several)

5. Artic Fire - Returned from a lengthy absence to run out an impressive winner of the County Hurdle off top weight. No surprise if turned out again at Aintree or Punchestown and fancied to go be seriously competitive back in graded company.

6. Native River - Lost nothing in defeat when 3rd in Gold Cup, interesting that yard weren't firing and the ground had got quick enough. He's all about stamina and looks one to follow in next years staying chases when getting his conditions.