Round 7 - Hull KR v Wigan
Joe Burgess 7/4 2U
Liam Marshall 15/8 2U
Sauoso Sue 8/1 0.25U
Jacob Douglas 15/4 2U (Unlikely to play, will be void if so)
The totals line is currently at 32.5, indicating the bookies are again expecting a low scoring match between two of the leagues’ better sides; and they may well be right.
The defence focused, conservative game-plan that Wigan used to nullify Rovers in last year’s grand final, has seemingly become the blue-print that Willie Peters wishes to implement in his own team, and with the absence of Rovers’ only halfback, Mikey Lewis, I can certainly understand the bookies’ low line.
However, there are few factors leading me to think this may not be as low scoring as they do: one, this is not a play-off game, and although it means the world to Rovers - Wigan aren’t really trying yet this year - and so the usual intensity needed to ensure a low scoring game may not be there; two, the conditions look ideal for attacking rugby. Both teams posses weapons all over the pitch, so nailing the individual players that actually do the scoring is no mean feat.
However, I’ve opted for both teams’ prolific triesmen, left wingers, Joe Burgess (7/4) and Liam Marshall (15/8) - both prices represent value.
The absence of England internationals, Luke Thompson and Ethan Harvard, gives us a small angle to make a play on Suaoso Sue (8/1), with the Wigan middles lacking a bit of goal-line defensive quality that would usually be there, we can’t take the 8/1 of offer for a small stake.
I’ve also gone for Jacob Douglas (15/4). Abbas Miski’s inclusion in the squad means Douglas isn’t likely to play, however, if he does take to the field, he is overpriced, and there isn’t any downside as the bet will be void should he not feature.
And finally, for something a bit different - than can be a lot of fun, I wouldn’t put anyone off the same game multiples just incase the game does blow open and is not the grindathon the bookies expect (like Wigan v Warrington in Vegas), players such as Jake Wardle (3/1), Peta Hiku (10/3) Jai Field (13/5), and Kelepi Tanginoa (5/1), Oli Gildart (3/1) and Zach Eckersley (10/3), will serve you well. 37-36 one time?
LW