After 4 winning weeks on the bounce we knew a bit of negative variance was around the corner, but it hit in brutal fashion on the weekend. Chargers were our strongest tip of the week, they held a 7pt lead in the 4th Quarter but couldn't convert, while Eagles on the ML was one of the bad beats for the ages.
An interesting tidbit from the last fortnight:
Games where both teams kicked a FG in the final 10 seconds of the 4th quarter
1970 to 2026 Week 2: ZERO
2026 Week 3-5: TWO
*Week 3: Ravens defeat Cowboys
*Week 5: Jags defeat Eagles
Yes, we had the Cowboys at 2.4 that day too
NFL Week 5
1pt Eagles ML (v Jaguars) at 4.00: FT 17-19 (Closed 4.00)
1pt Colts ML (v Steelers) at 2.20: FT 22-34 (Closed 2.30)
0.5pt Titans ML (v Texans) at 4.00: FT 3-26 (Closed 3.50)
1pt Packers ML (v Bears) at 2.30: WON, FT 31-7 (Closed 2.00)
2pt Chargers ML (v Broncos) at 2.60: FT 17-23 (Closed 2.50)
More strong performance against the closing line, with only one of the 5 closing higher than the advised price.
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